Software Analytics

Algorithm results

Open aggregates across all finalized signals. The data updates automatically as new results come in.

λLambda
63.3%Win Rate
+1.3%ROI
Signals785
Avg odds1.60
ΣSigma
65.5%Win Rate
-3.9%ROI
Signals702
Avg odds1.47
τTau
47.1%Win Rate
-2.1%ROI
Signals238
Avg odds1.77
ΔDelta
57.6%Win Rate
-5.1%ROI
Signals354
Avg odds1.65

Win Rate by algorithm

Share of hits among all finalized signals in the selected period.

Weekly dynamics

Last 12 weeks. Each line shows the Win Rate of an algorithm by week for weeks that had signals.

How these numbers are calculated

All aggregates on the page are calculated using a simple and verifiable formula — without smoothing, Bayesian corrections, or other statistical adjustments.

Win Rate (WR)

Share of hits out of total completed signals. Formula: WR = W ÷ (W + L), where W is hits and L is misses.

Only finalized signals — those with a definitive outcome — count toward the numerator and denominator. Active signals and pushes (refunds) are not included in the Win Rate calculation.

ROI

The return on a hypothetical flat stake of one unit per signal. For a hit, the return equals the odds taken; for a miss, it is zero. Formula: ROI = (sum of returns − N) ÷ N, where N is the total number of signals.

Example: 100 signals, of which 60 hit at average odds of 1.65, ROI = (60 × 1.65 + 40 × 0 − 100) ÷ 100 = −1%. A positive Win Rate does not guarantee a positive ROI — the difference in average odds can outweigh accuracy.

Push (refund)

A refund applies only in the Tau algorithm and only on whole match totals (1.0 and 2.0), when the actual total exactly matches the bookmaker's line. Refunded signals are excluded from both the numerator and the denominator of both metrics: they affect neither Win Rate nor ROI. In the archive such signals are marked with the letter P.

Full methodology

Data freshness and coverage

The Results page updates in real time as signals are finalized. Each signal receives its status (W, L, or P) when the match ends or its time window closes, and its result is immediately reflected in the aggregates on this page.

The "Week" period includes signals from the last seven calendar days. "Month" — the last thirty. "All time" — the entire period of public statistics, since the start of 2024. Active and pending signals are excluded from the aggregates so the numbers do not depend on matches that have not yet been played.

Statistical limitations

Before making decisions based on these statistics, keep in mind a few fundamental limitations.

  • Bookmaker margin. The bookmaker builds a margin into every odds line. This means that even on a correctly assessed 50/50 probability, the odds will, on average, be lower than the theoretically fair 2.00. A positive Win Rate does not equal a positive ROI.
  • Sample size. Over short periods (a week, sometimes a month) fluctuations can be significant. The full picture stabilizes on samples of several hundred signals and more. Evaluating an algorithm's quality from 20-30 signals in a week is statistically incorrect.
  • Operating period. The Tau and Delta algorithms are marked as experimental — their public history is shorter, and parameters may be revised. Lambda and Sigma have run longer and more stably, but even for them this is no guarantee against future shifts in the sample.
  • This is not a prediction for a specific match. The algorithm gives a statistical probability across many cases, not a guarantee for one event. Any outcome is possible in any specific match — that is normal and built into the very nature of probabilistic estimation.